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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.79+1.51vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.30+1.22vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.43+0.07vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.20+0.99vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.75-0.85vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.64-1.72vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.49-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51University of Pennsylvania2.790.3%1st Place
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3.22Princeton University2.300.2%1st Place
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3.07Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.99Fordham University1.200.1%1st Place
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4.15Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.28Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.79Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Johnson | 32.8% | 26.3% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Mary Gamber | 19.3% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 18.8% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 2.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 21.1% | 21.2% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Amanda Tooker | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 26.7% | 22.7% |
| Joan Boyle | 9.2% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 20.4% | 17.9% | 8.6% |
| Arielle Morgan | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 20.2% | 10.4% |
| Autumn Hoover | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.