← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

22.0%
Within 2 Positions
6.7
Avg Position Diff
41
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41
Allie Shand 5.9% 6.1% 5.3% 6.6% 5.4% 4.5% 4.9% 5.8% 5.3% 4.8% 4.4% 4.3% 4.4% 4.7% 4.3% 4.1% 2.9% 3.7% 2.6% 2.4% 1.8% 1.4% 1.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Groom 1.5% 1.8% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% 2.3% 1.9% 2.8% 2.3% 2.9% 2.7% 3.0% 3.3% 2.9% 3.6% 3.8% 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 4.6% 4.7% 4.5% 3.6% 4.2% 3.2% 3.6% 2.3% 2.7% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Berry 2.6% 3.7% 3.4% 3.4% 4.4% 2.8% 3.0% 4.2% 3.5% 3.9% 3.5% 3.5% 4.8% 4.4% 4.9% 4.2% 3.9% 4.4% 4.1% 4.5% 3.0% 3.3% 2.8% 2.4% 2.5% 1.8% 1.8% 1.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Harris 10.0% 7.6% 7.8% 7.5% 7.0% 6.7% 6.5% 5.7% 5.6% 5.7% 5.2% 3.9% 3.7% 3.7% 2.9% 1.7% 2.3% 2.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evelyn Engebretson 4.8% 4.8% 5.1% 5.0% 5.1% 4.9% 4.7% 4.3% 5.2% 4.7% 4.5% 5.1% 4.9% 4.7% 3.9% 4.0% 3.8% 3.3% 3.0% 2.8% 2.4% 2.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Mueller 8.8% 9.8% 8.4% 8.7% 7.8% 6.6% 6.5% 5.9% 5.2% 5.0% 4.0% 4.7% 3.2% 3.5% 3.1% 1.9% 1.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emerson Marquez 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 2.5% 3.3% 3.2% 2.6% 3.0% 3.7% 3.4% 3.7% 4.7% 3.7% 3.4% 4.2% 3.1% 4.5% 3.8% 3.9% 3.4% 2.9% 2.9% 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Juan Casal 4.1% 3.8% 4.3% 4.4% 3.8% 4.4% 5.1% 4.2% 5.0% 4.4% 4.4% 4.3% 4.8% 5.1% 4.3% 4.3% 3.6% 3.2% 3.2% 3.4% 2.9% 2.6% 2.9% 2.1% 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Isaac Sharp 4.0% 3.2% 3.8% 3.9% 3.4% 3.5% 3.8% 4.4% 3.1% 3.5% 4.6% 4.3% 4.3% 4.5% 4.2% 3.9% 3.8% 3.0% 4.4% 3.3% 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 2.8% 3.0% 1.9% 1.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Hopkins 1.9% 1.9% 2.6% 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 2.9% 3.1% 3.0% 2.8% 3.1% 3.7% 3.2% 3.2% 3.1% 3.0% 3.6% 2.9% 4.2% 3.9% 4.9% 3.9% 4.3% 4.2% 3.2% 2.8% 3.6% 2.9% 2.5% 2.3% 1.7% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Cuyler 3.0% 3.9% 3.5% 4.4% 3.7% 4.7% 4.4% 4.0% 4.7% 4.3% 4.2% 4.9% 4.3% 3.3% 4.8% 4.8% 3.9% 4.7% 3.2% 3.7% 3.0% 2.4% 2.9% 2.4% 1.7% 2.0% 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Fitzsimmons 9.9% 8.1% 8.6% 6.8% 8.2% 7.8% 7.0% 6.0% 4.9% 5.9% 4.5% 3.9% 3.5% 2.8% 2.3% 2.5% 2.1% 1.1% 1.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dante Massaro 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 1.7% 2.0% 2.0% 2.4% 2.1% 1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 3.1% 2.3% 2.4% 2.9% 3.3% 3.6% 3.7% 3.4% 3.6% 2.9% 3.5% 3.8% 3.5% 4.4% 3.9% 4.2% 3.9% 3.6% 3.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Aston Smith 6.4% 5.7% 6.1% 6.0% 5.2% 5.9% 5.8% 5.7% 5.1% 5.1% 5.4% 4.1% 5.0% 4.1% 3.6% 3.7% 3.0% 2.7% 2.4% 2.8% 1.3% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hudson Mayfield 7.3% 8.2% 6.2% 6.9% 6.6% 5.9% 5.8% 7.1% 5.3% 5.8% 4.5% 4.7% 4.0% 3.3% 3.0% 3.1% 2.5% 2.2% 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Olson 3.1% 2.3% 3.3% 3.4% 3.3% 4.5% 3.4% 3.8% 3.4% 3.5% 4.5% 4.1% 4.1% 4.4% 3.4% 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.6% 3.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.7% 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Braedon Hansen 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 3.1% 2.5% 2.9% 3.3% 3.9% 2.6% 3.4% 4.0% 3.7% 4.5% 3.8% 4.5% 4.5% 3.9% 4.1% 4.4% 3.1% 3.5% 2.7% 2.5% 2.5% 1.5% 1.7% 1.1% 0.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conrad Kistler 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 2.8% 2.4% 2.9% 3.3% 3.4% 4.0% 3.7% 4.9% 4.4% 4.5% 5.0% 5.0% 4.1% 4.0% 4.5% 4.0% 3.1% 3.2% 2.1% 1.2%
Skyler Chaffey 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 2.4% 2.0% 2.4% 3.1% 3.0% 2.3% 2.3% 3.3% 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 3.7% 3.6% 3.8% 4.2% 4.2% 4.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.4% 3.6% 3.8% 3.3% 1.9% 2.9% 2.5% 2.0% 1.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nikita Swatek 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.9% 1.0% 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 2.5% 2.7% 2.2% 2.8% 3.6% 2.7% 2.6% 4.2% 3.7% 4.5% 4.5% 3.3% 5.0% 4.2% 5.2% 4.5% 4.5% 3.8% 5.3% 3.2% 2.4%
Sadie Hoberman 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 2.5% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 3.1% 3.1% 3.8% 3.6% 4.6% 5.0% 4.2% 5.1% 4.9% 3.8% 4.2% 4.3% 3.8% 3.0% 2.6% 1.5% 1.0%
Conor Kim 2.6% 3.3% 2.9% 2.5% 3.2% 2.9% 3.8% 2.5% 4.3% 3.6% 4.5% 3.6% 4.2% 3.8% 3.6% 4.1% 4.2% 4.7% 3.7% 3.9% 3.9% 3.8% 3.3% 2.4% 3.3% 2.5% 2.6% 1.9% 1.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Johnston 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 2.2% 1.9% 2.0% 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 4.0% 5.2% 5.2% 6.9% 7.0% 7.5% 9.0% 10.4%
Robert Bloomfield 2.4% 2.1% 3.3% 2.9% 3.1% 3.4% 2.7% 2.8% 3.2% 3.1% 3.2% 3.3% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 4.7% 3.9% 3.8% 4.0% 4.3% 3.9% 4.7% 3.5% 3.7% 3.0% 2.9% 2.5% 2.7% 2.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gennis Marie Pilapil 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 1.3% 2.5% 2.2% 2.8% 3.1% 3.2% 3.8% 3.6% 3.7% 3.7% 4.6% 4.2% 5.6% 5.6% 5.6% 7.5% 8.8% 8.8%
Nate Powers 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 2.4% 2.8% 3.8% 3.3% 4.2% 3.4% 3.5% 5.4% 4.7% 5.2% 6.0% 7.0% 6.2% 6.9% 8.1%
Nejan Gunawardena 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 3.4% 3.6% 3.7% 3.6% 4.1% 5.0% 4.1% 3.8% 5.0% 4.3% 4.9% 4.4% 3.7% 3.4% 3.4% 1.8%
Nathan Briar 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 1.6% 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 2.9% 3.1% 4.1% 4.1% 3.9% 4.4% 4.9% 4.2% 5.6% 5.5% 5.0% 5.5% 4.7% 4.6% 3.9%
Liam Williams 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.8% 1.5% 2.1% 1.7% 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 3.4% 3.0% 4.7% 4.1% 3.8% 4.2% 5.0% 5.2% 4.9% 5.3% 4.7% 5.7% 5.6% 5.0% 4.3%
Adem Evecek 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 1.2% 1.6% 2.6% 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 3.5% 3.1% 3.6% 4.0% 4.8% 4.1% 5.1% 5.5% 4.9% 6.5% 5.1% 5.9% 5.7% 6.2%
Juan Alcala 0.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 1.0% 1.7% 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 2.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 4.0% 2.9% 4.7% 4.0% 3.0% 4.2% 4.0% 4.8% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2% 4.2% 3.5% 3.0% 3.6% 2.4% 1.9%
Pike Williams 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.9% 2.6% 3.1% 2.5% 3.8% 4.0% 4.8% 5.0% 6.2% 5.3% 6.5% 7.7% 10.0% 13.8%
Claire Diaco 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 1.8% 2.4% 1.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.4% 3.6% 3.6% 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 4.0% 5.1% 5.1% 5.8% 5.9% 6.5% 6.3% 5.8%
Alex Bussey 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.1% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 2.8% 3.8% 3.2% 3.8% 3.8% 4.6% 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 4.6% 4.5% 5.1% 4.0% 4.2% 4.4% 4.9% 3.2% 3.3% 2.2%
Emerson Coskey 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 2.3% 2.9% 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 3.3% 4.2% 4.5% 4.0% 4.6% 6.1% 6.6% 8.5% 9.6% 13.3%
Samantha Katz 0.5% 0.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.8% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 3.2% 2.6% 2.4% 3.1% 3.7% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 4.3% 4.9% 5.2% 5.1% 4.6% 5.6% 4.1% 5.5% 3.5% 4.1% 2.1%
John Flanagan 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 2.6% 2.1% 3.0% 2.7% 3.0% 3.5% 3.9% 4.4% 4.4% 5.1% 4.8% 5.8% 7.1% 7.8% 8.8% 10.2%
Elizabeth Fourney 2.8% 1.8% 2.5% 2.2% 2.0% 2.0% 3.2% 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 2.3% 2.7% 3.1% 3.7% 3.7% 4.1% 3.8% 4.0% 4.2% 3.3% 4.1% 3.9% 4.1% 3.9% 4.0% 3.7% 3.0% 2.8% 2.5% 2.5% 1.7% 1.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brayden Money 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.5% 2.3% 3.2% 3.2% 3.0% 3.4% 3.3% 4.0% 3.9% 4.6% 4.1% 4.8% 4.0% 4.0% 4.4% 4.5% 4.9% 4.2% 4.0% 3.2% 2.9% 1.3%
Vivian Bonsager 3.8% 5.5% 5.5% 4.6% 4.8% 5.2% 3.6% 3.7% 5.0% 4.6% 4.5% 4.7% 3.9% 4.2% 3.5% 3.6% 4.1% 3.6% 3.4% 3.5% 2.8% 3.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mitchell Powers 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 2.8% 2.2% 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.8% 4.3% 4.2% 4.2% 2.5% 3.9% 2.6% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.