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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.79+1.53vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.64+2.28vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.30+0.24vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.43-0.92vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.20+0.01vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.49-0.11vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.75-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Pennsylvania2.790.3%1st Place
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4.28Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
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3.24Princeton University2.300.2%1st Place
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3.08Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
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5.01Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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5.89Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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3.97Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Johnson | 32.6% | 24.7% | 17.4% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Arielle Morgan | 8.4% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 19.1% | 10.8% |
| Mary Gamber | 17.6% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 2.3% |
| Irene Jacqz | 21.8% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Amanda Tooker | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 29.4% | 22.2% |
| Autumn Hoover | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 54.8% |
| Joan Boyle | 12.1% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.