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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+0.62vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+0.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.87+0.59vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.05-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.36-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62University of Hawaii1.0555.3%1st Place
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2.25University of Hawaii0.1226.4%1st Place
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3.59University of California at San Diego-0.876.1%1st Place
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3.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.057.0%1st Place
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3.9University of California at San Diego-1.365.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 55.3% | 30.2% | 11.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 26.4% | 38.5% | 22.4% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 6.1% | 12.0% | 25.2% | 30.0% | 26.7% |
| Samantha Katz | 7.0% | 10.4% | 23.0% | 31.1% | 28.5% |
| Claire Diaco | 5.3% | 8.8% | 17.7% | 26.7% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.