Race 1A

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Dumke 8.1% 9.0% 10.3% 11.0% 8.0% 9.9% 10.1% 9.0% 8.4% 7.4% 5.2% 3.1% 0.5%
Samuel Cushing 7.5% 8.3% 8.6% 9.4% 9.0% 8.9% 9.5% 10.3% 8.8% 9.0% 6.0% 3.4% 1.3%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 2.6% 3.1% 2.4% 3.6% 4.8% 6.5% 4.7% 7.0% 9.5% 9.3% 15.1% 18.0% 13.4%
Jennifer Lee 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 2.4% 3.4% 3.2% 3.8% 3.1% 6.0% 8.9% 11.7% 17.5% 35.7%
Dirk Johnson 10.2% 12.0% 11.0% 9.7% 9.5% 9.6% 10.0% 7.2% 8.3% 6.8% 2.9% 2.3% 0.5%
William Crary 10.6% 9.9% 10.0% 9.9% 9.9% 8.1% 10.5% 10.4% 6.2% 5.5% 5.7% 2.9% 0.4%
Jeffrey Adam 4.2% 4.3% 4.0% 4.7% 4.9% 6.0% 6.3% 7.2% 9.7% 10.9% 14.0% 13.8% 10.0%
Nick Sertl 19.3% 17.7% 13.5% 12.6% 10.3% 10.2% 6.1% 4.7% 2.4% 2.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
John Silvestri 6.7% 5.7% 7.0% 6.5% 8.1% 7.1% 8.5% 10.7% 11.1% 9.6% 8.2% 6.6% 4.2%
Scott Goodrich 8.9% 7.2% 8.0% 8.8% 9.3% 9.2% 8.8% 9.1% 9.1% 8.1% 7.4% 4.7% 1.4%
Christopher Champa 5.1% 5.0% 6.9% 7.5% 8.1% 8.5% 8.5% 10.2% 9.5% 10.9% 9.4% 7.2% 3.2%
William Dykes 1.5% 2.4% 2.8% 1.9% 3.2% 2.8% 4.8% 5.3% 6.1% 8.5% 12.0% 19.4% 29.3%
James Beatty 13.8% 14.0% 14.1% 12.0% 11.5% 10.0% 8.4% 5.8% 4.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.