Race 2A

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Samuel Cushing 7.8% 6.9% 9.4% 10.0% 9.9% 8.8% 8.2% 9.9% 10.3% 8.6% 5.2% 3.7% 1.3%
Henry Dumke 9.5% 7.6% 8.7% 9.6% 10.2% 11.6% 9.2% 7.7% 8.4% 8.3% 5.3% 2.5% 1.4%
Dirk Johnson 8.6% 11.2% 10.3% 10.8% 9.9% 9.3% 10.1% 9.9% 6.9% 6.0% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7%
Christopher Champa 5.0% 5.5% 5.7% 6.6% 8.0% 7.3% 9.6% 9.5% 9.9% 9.1% 10.6% 9.2% 4.0%
Nick Sertl 20.0% 18.6% 13.5% 12.5% 11.3% 7.3% 5.7% 4.5% 3.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 3.3% 3.1% 3.5% 4.4% 4.1% 5.4% 4.9% 7.0% 9.2% 11.3% 13.8% 17.6% 12.4%
John Silvestri 7.9% 6.1% 7.4% 6.5% 7.0% 7.9% 9.8% 9.5% 9.6% 9.8% 9.3% 5.9% 3.3%
William Crary 10.1% 9.9% 9.7% 10.8% 9.0% 9.8% 9.7% 8.9% 8.5% 6.0% 3.8% 3.2% 0.6%
Jeffrey Adam 3.3% 4.8% 4.5% 3.3% 4.2% 6.3% 6.4% 7.0% 9.7% 11.3% 15.6% 11.7% 11.9%
Jennifer Lee 1.8% 1.6% 2.5% 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 4.5% 4.1% 4.9% 7.7% 10.4% 20.1% 34.7%
Scott Goodrich 7.7% 8.4% 8.8% 8.6% 9.1% 9.8% 10.7% 9.7% 7.9% 7.7% 5.8% 4.1% 1.7%
James Beatty 13.3% 14.5% 13.7% 12.7% 11.5% 10.0% 6.9% 6.8% 4.9% 2.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
William Dykes 1.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 3.1% 3.7% 4.3% 5.5% 6.8% 9.1% 12.7% 19.1% 27.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.