Race 3A

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dirk Johnson 8.7% 11.8% 12.1% 9.3% 8.9% 10.1% 11.2% 9.1% 6.4% 6.2% 4.0% 1.4% 0.8%
Henry Dumke 9.3% 7.9% 9.4% 9.8% 10.5% 9.7% 9.3% 9.1% 8.8% 7.3% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0%
Scott Goodrich 6.6% 7.7% 9.1% 8.5% 8.7% 9.4% 8.8% 10.1% 10.6% 8.1% 6.6% 4.4% 1.4%
John Silvestri 6.3% 5.9% 6.2% 7.1% 8.5% 9.5% 8.5% 8.1% 10.8% 9.7% 10.0% 6.8% 2.6%
Nick Sertl 20.8% 17.4% 13.5% 12.5% 10.8% 8.8% 5.8% 4.6% 2.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Samuel Cushing 8.7% 8.2% 7.7% 10.1% 8.7% 10.1% 9.1% 8.9% 10.1% 7.2% 6.5% 3.4% 1.3%
James Beatty 16.5% 13.0% 12.7% 14.5% 9.8% 9.4% 8.2% 6.9% 5.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Jennifer Lee 1.3% 2.7% 2.2% 2.0% 3.1% 1.8% 3.4% 3.9% 5.4% 8.2% 12.4% 18.8% 34.8%
William Dykes 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 3.2% 2.5% 3.7% 4.7% 4.6% 6.3% 8.8% 10.7% 21.9% 26.7%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 3.1% 4.1% 3.5% 3.3% 3.6% 4.9% 6.1% 7.5% 8.8% 11.4% 12.5% 15.9% 15.3%
Christopher Champa 5.2% 6.0% 7.7% 6.0% 8.0% 7.8% 8.9% 10.1% 9.3% 11.7% 10.0% 5.9% 3.4%
Jeffrey Adam 2.9% 3.7% 3.4% 5.0% 5.5% 5.3% 6.4% 8.1% 7.3% 10.9% 14.7% 14.9% 11.9%
William Crary 8.4% 9.3% 10.1% 8.7% 11.4% 9.5% 9.6% 9.0% 8.3% 6.5% 5.3% 3.3% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.