Race 4A

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jeffrey Adam 3.1% 3.9% 2.8% 4.1% 6.2% 6.6% 7.3% 6.8% 9.3% 10.8% 14.2% 13.6% 11.3%
William Crary 8.6% 10.0% 11.5% 9.2% 9.9% 9.9% 9.7% 8.4% 8.5% 6.2% 5.0% 1.8% 1.3%
Scott Goodrich 6.8% 7.4% 10.1% 7.3% 9.2% 9.9% 9.6% 8.6% 10.0% 9.4% 6.1% 4.3% 1.3%
Henry Dumke 8.4% 9.1% 10.1% 10.3% 8.6% 9.5% 10.1% 9.3% 8.0% 7.6% 5.6% 2.7% 0.7%
Dirk Johnson 10.7% 12.1% 9.8% 10.2% 9.3% 10.0% 10.3% 7.7% 7.5% 5.7% 4.3% 2.0% 0.4%
Jennifer Lee 1.2% 1.8% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 3.5% 4.6% 6.6% 6.6% 10.1% 20.5% 34.9%
Samuel Cushing 9.5% 7.3% 9.5% 8.7% 8.3% 7.4% 10.8% 9.7% 8.9% 8.8% 6.5% 3.5% 1.1%
Nick Sertl 20.0% 18.1% 12.5% 13.2% 9.8% 10.3% 6.5% 3.5% 2.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
John Silvestri 6.3% 6.1% 5.0% 8.7% 8.5% 6.9% 7.7% 11.0% 9.9% 10.0% 9.9% 6.4% 3.6%
Christopher Champa 6.3% 5.8% 5.1% 7.0% 7.6% 8.1% 8.2% 10.7% 8.8% 10.0% 10.4% 7.7% 4.3%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 3.2% 1.7% 4.6% 5.2% 5.8% 4.7% 4.6% 6.6% 9.6% 11.8% 13.3% 16.6% 12.3%
William Dykes 1.5% 2.1% 2.3% 1.8% 3.9% 3.7% 3.8% 6.3% 5.6% 8.4% 12.3% 19.8% 28.5%
James Beatty 14.4% 14.6% 14.4% 11.8% 10.3% 10.2% 7.9% 6.8% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.