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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+2.99vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.97+3.57vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.68+3.46vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+2.32vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.85+0.78vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.38-1.56vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72+1.96vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.90-2.31vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.34-1.52vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.40vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.45-4.10vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.13-1.37vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.46Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.78Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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4.44Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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7.48Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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6.9Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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10.17University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 19.4% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dirk Johnson | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Henry Dumke | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| James Beatty | 15.9% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 20.6% | 11.2% |
| William Crary | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Champa | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% |
| John Silvestri | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 37.0% |
| William Dykes | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.