Race 6A

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jennifer Lee 1.9% 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 2.5% 2.8% 4.1% 4.7% 5.2% 7.2% 11.8% 19.1% 35.4%
William Crary 8.3% 9.2% 10.7% 11.9% 9.7% 9.1% 10.4% 9.3% 6.8% 6.2% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7%
James Beatty 15.3% 13.1% 14.2% 12.2% 11.0% 10.7% 7.2% 6.5% 4.4% 2.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.3%
Samuel Cushing 6.9% 8.6% 10.1% 8.8% 8.8% 8.1% 10.3% 8.3% 10.7% 8.4% 6.7% 3.2% 1.1%
Jeffrey Adam 3.8% 4.0% 3.9% 4.6% 5.6% 5.6% 7.3% 8.1% 8.9% 10.1% 14.7% 13.0% 10.4%
Nick Sertl 19.3% 19.5% 14.2% 11.7% 9.4% 8.5% 5.3% 5.6% 3.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Dirk Johnson 10.7% 11.6% 9.6% 10.1% 10.2% 10.2% 8.8% 7.5% 8.6% 6.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.3%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 2.4% 3.5% 3.7% 4.8% 2.7% 5.8% 5.4% 8.9% 8.1% 10.9% 13.2% 16.3% 14.3%
Henry Dumke 9.3% 8.1% 8.8% 9.9% 10.5% 9.2% 9.9% 8.6% 8.6% 7.6% 5.1% 2.9% 1.5%
Christopher Champa 6.1% 6.3% 5.0% 5.6% 8.8% 7.7% 9.2% 9.6% 9.3% 10.0% 9.4% 8.8% 4.2%
Scott Goodrich 8.5% 8.0% 8.0% 9.5% 9.2% 11.5% 9.2% 8.4% 9.3% 8.1% 5.7% 2.8% 1.8%
John Silvestri 5.6% 5.0% 7.2% 7.1% 8.7% 8.0% 8.0% 9.5% 9.5% 11.6% 8.9% 6.8% 4.1%
William Dykes 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.1% 2.9% 2.8% 4.9% 5.0% 6.7% 9.1% 12.2% 22.4% 25.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.