← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University2.68+5.45vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University2.45+5.10vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.34+4.44vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.72+2.32vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.60-1.12vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.85-0.13vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72+1.91vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.97-2.49vs Predicted
-
9University of Connecticut1.13+1.51vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.90-4.25vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.49vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire1.35-1.82vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.38-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.45Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
-
7.1Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.44Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
-
6.32University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
-
3.88Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
-
5.87Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
8.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
-
5.51Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.51University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
-
5.75University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
-
8.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
10.18University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
-
4.56Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Goodrich | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| John Silvestri | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Christopher Champa | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Samuel Cushing | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 19.2% | 20.7% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 13.1% |
| Dirk Johnson | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 37.1% |
| William Crary | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 8.6% |
| William Dykes | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 20.4% | 29.0% |
| James Beatty | 14.0% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.