Race 8A

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Goodrich 7.3% 7.0% 8.6% 10.3% 8.6% 7.8% 9.5% 10.4% 10.7% 8.6% 6.3% 3.1% 1.8%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 2.9% 3.0% 2.8% 4.5% 4.6% 5.0% 5.0% 7.6% 7.9% 10.8% 13.9% 19.1% 12.9%
Dirk Johnson 8.6% 10.4% 10.8% 10.1% 10.5% 10.1% 10.8% 8.9% 6.6% 6.2% 4.7% 1.3% 1.0%
Nick Sertl 19.1% 16.9% 15.5% 11.8% 10.2% 8.7% 6.4% 4.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.3%
James Beatty 16.7% 15.6% 12.7% 12.4% 10.9% 8.7% 7.6% 5.5% 3.9% 3.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Christopher Champa 6.0% 5.0% 6.8% 6.1% 7.6% 8.9% 8.8% 9.5% 9.4% 9.9% 10.4% 8.2% 3.4%
William Crary 11.3% 9.3% 9.1% 9.0% 12.2% 9.1% 9.7% 8.3% 6.6% 7.4% 4.3% 3.2% 0.5%
Henry Dumke 8.9% 9.2% 9.8% 9.6% 9.3% 9.1% 11.5% 9.5% 8.1% 7.7% 3.6% 2.8% 0.9%
Samuel Cushing 7.9% 7.7% 8.1% 9.3% 8.5% 9.5% 10.8% 8.3% 8.9% 8.9% 6.4% 4.2% 1.5%
William Dykes 1.9% 2.6% 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 4.1% 4.1% 4.2% 8.5% 8.7% 11.6% 19.8% 26.2%
John Silvestri 5.4% 7.6% 7.6% 7.4% 7.8% 9.6% 7.9% 11.5% 9.1% 10.1% 8.3% 5.1% 2.6%
Jeffrey Adam 2.5% 4.1% 4.0% 4.9% 4.8% 6.5% 5.4% 6.2% 9.8% 11.1% 14.6% 14.2% 11.9%
Jennifer Lee 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 2.9% 2.5% 5.3% 6.4% 6.3% 12.6% 18.4% 37.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.