Race 9A

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Goodrich 7.0% 7.3% 9.0% 10.2% 9.7% 6.8% 9.4% 10.1% 10.0% 8.8% 6.2% 4.1% 1.4%
William Crary 9.5% 8.1% 9.8% 10.7% 10.8% 10.8% 8.7% 9.4% 8.2% 5.9% 4.2% 3.0% 0.9%
Dirk Johnson 9.0% 11.2% 10.0% 10.5% 8.2% 11.6% 9.4% 9.8% 6.9% 7.0% 3.6% 2.2% 0.6%
Henry Dumke 8.6% 8.5% 9.8% 10.9% 9.0% 10.4% 9.6% 7.8% 9.8% 6.5% 5.7% 2.4% 1.0%
Nick Sertl 21.1% 16.9% 14.2% 12.1% 11.3% 8.4% 5.3% 3.8% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Christopher Champa 5.9% 5.7% 6.0% 6.4% 8.4% 7.8% 8.5% 9.5% 9.5% 10.6% 8.9% 8.7% 4.1%
John Silvestri 7.2% 7.0% 7.0% 7.2% 6.4% 7.7% 10.0% 9.1% 9.1% 11.2% 8.8% 7.0% 2.3%
James Beatty 15.7% 14.3% 12.6% 12.1% 11.6% 10.7% 8.7% 5.4% 4.2% 2.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Jeffrey Adam 3.1% 4.9% 3.9% 3.3% 4.5% 6.2% 7.2% 7.2% 8.5% 12.4% 15.2% 12.2% 11.4%
Jennifer Lee 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 2.3% 3.0% 2.4% 3.5% 5.0% 5.6% 7.3% 12.1% 18.7% 34.5%
Samuel Cushing 7.4% 9.2% 9.9% 8.1% 9.6% 10.5% 9.3% 9.4% 9.2% 7.6% 5.5% 2.9% 1.4%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 2.5% 2.9% 3.3% 4.5% 3.9% 4.4% 5.0% 7.3% 8.5% 10.7% 13.3% 18.5% 15.2%
William Dykes 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 1.7% 3.6% 2.3% 5.4% 6.2% 6.9% 7.5% 14.0% 19.5% 27.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.