Race 10A

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Goodrich 7.6% 7.5% 7.8% 9.7% 9.8% 8.6% 7.4% 11.9% 9.1% 8.5% 6.7% 4.2% 1.2%
Nick Sertl 19.6% 15.6% 16.3% 13.7% 9.8% 7.4% 6.6% 3.8% 4.3% 1.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
John Silvestri 5.1% 5.7% 7.1% 7.8% 8.0% 8.2% 9.2% 9.7% 11.0% 10.4% 7.8% 7.5% 2.5%
James Beatty 15.3% 15.0% 13.0% 12.3% 10.9% 9.5% 7.5% 6.6% 5.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3%
Henry Dumke 9.4% 10.9% 8.4% 11.5% 8.1% 8.2% 11.3% 9.0% 7.8% 6.5% 4.9% 3.3% 0.7%
Dirk Johnson 9.8% 11.8% 11.1% 8.4% 11.1% 11.3% 9.6% 6.1% 7.1% 6.5% 4.8% 2.1% 0.3%
William Crary 11.0% 10.1% 9.5% 8.7% 10.4% 9.6% 10.0% 8.8% 6.7% 7.5% 4.6% 2.5% 0.6%
Christopher Champa 5.2% 7.0% 5.3% 5.9% 6.9% 8.4% 10.6% 8.0% 10.8% 10.3% 9.9% 8.6% 3.1%
Samuel Cushing 7.9% 6.8% 8.2% 9.4% 9.4% 10.8% 8.7% 10.3% 7.2% 9.6% 6.1% 3.9% 1.7%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 3.1% 3.2% 3.4% 3.4% 4.2% 5.5% 4.9% 8.2% 8.7% 9.8% 14.4% 16.6% 14.6%
Jeffrey Adam 3.5% 3.2% 4.7% 4.9% 6.9% 5.1% 7.2% 7.7% 10.3% 11.7% 13.7% 12.2% 8.9%
William Dykes 1.3% 2.1% 2.9% 2.4% 2.6% 4.6% 4.2% 5.2% 4.8% 8.5% 13.4% 18.9% 29.1%
Jennifer Lee 1.2% 1.1% 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 4.7% 7.2% 6.6% 11.0% 19.5% 37.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.