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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.30+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.79+0.52vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.49+2.87vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.20+0.99vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.64-0.68vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.43-2.92vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.75-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Princeton University2.300.2%1st Place
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2.52University of Pennsylvania2.790.3%1st Place
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5.87Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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4.99Fordham University1.200.1%1st Place
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4.32Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
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3.08Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.01Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Gamber | 21.3% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 19.5% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 1.9% |
| Amanda Johnson | 29.5% | 28.2% | 18.6% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Autumn Hoover | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 18.6% | 54.2% |
| Amanda Tooker | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 29.8% | 21.3% |
| Arielle Morgan | 9.2% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 20.7% | 18.3% | 11.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 20.2% | 22.6% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Joan Boyle | 11.4% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 21.7% | 14.7% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.