Race 11A

71st-greater-boston-oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Samuel Cushing 7.8% 7.5% 9.4% 10.6% 8.3% 8.0% 8.7% 11.2% 8.3% 8.8% 6.6% 3.1% 1.7%
Henry Dumke 8.6% 9.5% 8.3% 9.9% 10.2% 9.5% 11.2% 8.3% 8.0% 7.5% 5.1% 2.8% 1.1%
William Crary 7.6% 11.0% 10.0% 9.9% 9.8% 10.0% 9.5% 9.2% 9.4% 5.4% 4.9% 2.6% 0.7%
Dirk Johnson 10.1% 8.4% 12.7% 10.2% 10.2% 9.2% 10.9% 8.3% 7.7% 5.7% 4.4% 1.6% 0.6%
Nick Sertl 20.9% 17.5% 15.2% 11.2% 9.4% 9.2% 5.9% 3.6% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 8.0% 8.2% 8.2% 9.4% 8.2% 9.5% 10.3% 8.9% 9.9% 6.7% 5.7% 5.3% 1.7%
Jeffrey Adam 4.3% 4.0% 4.8% 3.5% 6.1% 6.0% 5.0% 7.4% 9.4% 11.4% 13.4% 14.9% 9.8%
James Beatty 15.6% 15.4% 11.7% 12.1% 11.2% 10.7% 8.7% 6.1% 4.0% 1.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
John Silvestri 6.8% 5.9% 5.4% 7.6% 7.9% 9.5% 8.1% 9.4% 10.2% 10.2% 8.3% 7.4% 3.3%
Jennifer Lee 1.3% 2.6% 1.8% 2.3% 3.0% 2.3% 3.7% 4.8% 4.9% 8.0% 10.9% 18.6% 35.8%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 2.6% 2.6% 4.7% 4.2% 5.7% 5.1% 5.7% 7.9% 8.2% 11.3% 12.9% 16.4% 12.7%
Christopher Champa 4.7% 5.5% 5.5% 6.8% 7.3% 8.2% 7.6% 9.4% 9.2% 11.7% 11.6% 8.7% 3.8%
William Dykes 1.7% 1.9% 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 2.8% 4.7% 5.5% 7.1% 9.3% 13.2% 17.7% 28.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.