Race 12A

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nick Sertl 19.7% 15.9% 16.3% 12.0% 9.4% 8.4% 8.4% 3.8% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Samuel Cushing 7.6% 8.8% 7.1% 8.6% 10.8% 10.7% 8.8% 9.0% 8.8% 8.1% 6.2% 4.6% 0.9%
Scott Goodrich 6.3% 7.4% 10.0% 8.8% 7.0% 10.0% 8.8% 11.4% 9.3% 8.8% 6.4% 4.0% 1.8%
James Beatty 15.4% 14.4% 13.6% 12.6% 11.1% 7.9% 8.0% 6.8% 5.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.5%
William Dykes 3.0% 2.1% 1.7% 3.4% 2.9% 3.9% 4.5% 5.8% 5.5% 9.5% 12.6% 18.5% 26.6%
Jeffrey Adam 3.1% 3.9% 4.5% 5.1% 5.5% 6.3% 6.5% 7.6% 9.8% 11.1% 11.7% 15.5% 9.4%
Dirk Johnson 11.0% 10.9% 10.0% 10.9% 10.1% 10.0% 8.1% 7.7% 9.3% 5.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4%
William Crary 9.1% 10.7% 9.1% 8.3% 11.7% 9.3% 11.2% 10.2% 7.2% 5.1% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6%
Christopher Champa 5.8% 4.8% 5.7% 6.9% 7.0% 7.3% 8.2% 9.5% 11.1% 10.5% 10.0% 8.1% 5.1%
Jennifer Lee 1.7% 1.6% 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 3.1% 2.4% 4.2% 6.1% 8.0% 12.1% 18.1% 35.3%
Henry Dumke 9.1% 10.7% 9.6% 10.0% 9.3% 10.8% 11.2% 7.9% 6.9% 6.2% 4.9% 2.4% 1.0%
John Silvestri 5.8% 6.4% 6.5% 7.6% 7.9% 6.7% 8.8% 9.0% 9.9% 11.0% 9.4% 7.7% 3.3%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 2.4% 2.4% 3.5% 3.0% 5.1% 5.6% 5.1% 7.1% 8.4% 11.5% 14.5% 16.3% 15.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.