Race 13A

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Goodrich 7.8% 6.5% 9.5% 9.0% 8.4% 8.7% 9.9% 10.2% 9.9% 7.7% 7.1% 4.3% 1.0%
John Silvestri 6.1% 5.7% 6.5% 8.3% 7.7% 8.9% 7.7% 11.2% 10.0% 9.2% 9.6% 6.1% 3.0%
Henry Dumke 7.8% 9.1% 9.5% 10.6% 10.6% 9.5% 9.6% 9.2% 8.1% 7.1% 4.8% 3.4% 0.7%
Nick Sertl 19.0% 17.7% 14.3% 11.5% 10.7% 8.9% 7.0% 4.5% 3.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.3%
Dirk Johnson 10.7% 11.5% 10.4% 8.8% 10.0% 9.2% 10.8% 8.1% 8.5% 5.3% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8%
William Crary 9.2% 9.9% 11.0% 10.1% 8.4% 11.9% 9.5% 7.7% 7.2% 7.6% 4.8% 1.9% 0.8%
James Beatty 16.1% 14.7% 11.3% 12.7% 11.6% 9.5% 8.3% 5.3% 6.0% 2.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 3.0% 3.3% 3.9% 3.5% 3.7% 4.7% 6.2% 7.7% 8.4% 10.9% 15.0% 17.0% 12.7%
Jennifer Lee 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 2.0% 2.9% 5.0% 5.6% 5.5% 10.8% 20.0% 36.6%
Samuel Cushing 8.8% 6.9% 8.9% 9.9% 9.6% 9.4% 8.6% 9.0% 9.2% 7.9% 5.3% 4.7% 1.8%
Christopher Champa 5.4% 6.5% 7.1% 6.1% 7.6% 7.7% 10.1% 10.5% 8.5% 10.8% 9.6% 5.7% 4.4%
Jeffrey Adam 2.8% 4.2% 3.2% 4.8% 5.8% 6.6% 5.3% 6.0% 8.6% 13.3% 13.7% 13.7% 12.0%
William Dykes 1.7% 1.4% 2.3% 2.3% 3.0% 3.0% 4.1% 5.6% 6.9% 10.1% 13.1% 20.7% 25.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.