Race 1B

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Patrick Penwell 5.1% 4.6% 5.7% 6.8% 7.8% 7.1% 8.5% 7.4% 9.9% 10.7% 13.4% 8.3% 4.7%
Matthew Mollerus 9.7% 11.3% 10.8% 11.8% 8.9% 11.7% 10.0% 8.4% 4.7% 6.6% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8%
Harry Koeppel 17.5% 17.3% 12.4% 14.4% 10.8% 9.1% 8.3% 4.6% 2.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2%
Viktor Wettergren 4.3% 6.6% 7.0% 6.6% 7.9% 8.2% 7.9% 8.9% 10.2% 11.4% 8.5% 8.3% 4.2%
Jackson Hamilton 7.5% 9.1% 9.1% 8.2% 9.3% 8.2% 8.9% 9.9% 9.7% 7.1% 6.6% 4.3% 2.1%
Sean Beaulieu 6.0% 4.5% 5.2% 6.5% 8.5% 7.7% 8.5% 8.8% 10.1% 11.3% 9.2% 8.8% 4.9%
Eric Anderson 7.9% 5.4% 8.5% 8.4% 7.8% 8.2% 9.1% 10.2% 9.2% 8.2% 8.2% 6.6% 2.3%
Sarah Fuller 3.2% 5.5% 4.7% 4.8% 4.5% 7.2% 7.8% 8.0% 10.6% 10.7% 11.9% 13.6% 7.5%
Martim Anderson 22.2% 19.3% 15.3% 11.8% 9.5% 8.4% 5.4% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Zachary Hall 7.1% 7.0% 7.7% 8.9% 9.3% 10.2% 8.6% 9.3% 7.4% 8.7% 7.6% 5.0% 3.2%
Ryan Gershuny 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 3.0% 4.0% 4.3% 4.2% 6.1% 6.4% 7.9% 12.7% 19.5% 26.3%
Adam Ceely 7.0% 6.0% 9.8% 7.2% 9.8% 7.3% 9.4% 10.0% 11.1% 7.7% 6.9% 5.6% 2.2%
Christopher Dawson 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 3.4% 4.5% 5.6% 6.8% 10.4% 17.7% 41.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.