Race 2B

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Harry Koeppel 17.5% 16.9% 14.9% 12.5% 11.2% 8.0% 7.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Patrick Penwell 4.6% 4.9% 6.3% 6.6% 6.6% 7.3% 9.2% 9.3% 9.1% 12.0% 10.6% 8.5% 5.0%
Martim Anderson 21.6% 20.2% 14.1% 14.1% 9.7% 7.2% 6.6% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 5.9% 7.3% 6.6% 9.1% 8.1% 8.6% 8.6% 10.1% 9.0% 8.4% 8.9% 6.9% 2.5%
Jackson Hamilton 8.0% 7.5% 9.4% 9.8% 9.8% 7.0% 9.1% 10.7% 8.2% 7.6% 7.3% 4.4% 1.2%
Sarah Fuller 4.2% 3.9% 4.3% 4.7% 5.3% 7.5% 7.6% 8.2% 9.2% 11.2% 12.5% 13.2% 8.2%
Matthew Mollerus 10.9% 11.4% 10.9% 9.5% 11.0% 11.3% 8.6% 6.9% 7.8% 6.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.6%
Zachary Hall 6.3% 7.8% 7.3% 8.0% 8.7% 10.3% 8.6% 9.8% 9.6% 10.5% 6.6% 4.8% 1.7%
Viktor Wettergren 5.4% 5.3% 6.7% 5.1% 7.0% 8.0% 11.4% 8.1% 10.1% 9.4% 10.5% 8.6% 4.4%
Adam Ceely 8.5% 6.3% 8.8% 8.7% 10.3% 9.5% 7.3% 9.6% 8.5% 9.5% 6.7% 4.7% 1.6%
Sean Beaulieu 4.3% 5.8% 6.7% 7.8% 7.9% 7.6% 8.7% 9.2% 10.7% 9.8% 9.4% 7.5% 4.6%
Christopher Dawson 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 2.2% 1.9% 3.6% 2.8% 5.0% 5.8% 4.7% 10.5% 19.2% 40.4%
Ryan Gershuny 1.6% 1.5% 2.5% 1.9% 2.5% 4.1% 3.6% 5.7% 6.6% 7.8% 12.2% 20.2% 29.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.