Race 3B

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Patrick Penwell 4.9% 5.0% 5.1% 6.5% 8.2% 6.9% 9.2% 8.3% 11.3% 9.2% 11.0% 9.8% 4.6%
Sean Beaulieu 4.6% 5.0% 6.2% 6.9% 7.1% 7.7% 7.7% 9.9% 10.3% 10.4% 11.1% 8.9% 4.2%
Zachary Hall 5.2% 7.7% 6.8% 9.2% 9.0% 9.9% 9.4% 9.6% 9.4% 10.3% 6.6% 4.8% 2.1%
Eric Anderson 5.7% 6.7% 6.9% 8.0% 8.9% 9.8% 9.4% 9.2% 9.9% 9.8% 7.5% 6.3% 1.9%
Adam Ceely 7.5% 8.0% 9.3% 8.4% 8.2% 9.2% 8.4% 11.6% 8.4% 8.2% 6.7% 4.1% 2.0%
Matthew Mollerus 10.9% 10.7% 11.4% 12.0% 10.3% 9.7% 9.0% 7.6% 7.0% 5.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.4%
Martim Anderson 22.1% 19.1% 17.3% 11.6% 9.4% 8.2% 5.1% 3.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Sarah Fuller 3.2% 4.8% 4.2% 5.3% 5.4% 7.2% 7.2% 8.1% 10.3% 11.3% 12.7% 12.7% 7.6%
Viktor Wettergren 5.5% 5.7% 6.0% 6.0% 6.6% 8.6% 10.1% 9.0% 9.7% 9.1% 10.7% 8.8% 4.2%
Jackson Hamilton 8.4% 6.8% 8.0% 9.2% 9.9% 8.9% 9.4% 10.2% 7.8% 8.7% 6.0% 4.3% 2.4%
Harry Koeppel 19.2% 17.9% 14.7% 12.4% 11.9% 8.1% 6.2% 4.1% 2.3% 1.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Gershuny 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 2.7% 3.9% 5.6% 4.6% 6.1% 8.2% 11.5% 19.6% 30.0%
Christopher Dawson 1.4% 0.8% 2.0% 2.0% 2.4% 1.9% 3.3% 4.5% 5.3% 7.3% 10.3% 18.2% 40.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.