Race 4B

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Martim Anderson 21.8% 19.9% 15.0% 13.0% 10.5% 7.8% 5.0% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Harry Koeppel 17.9% 16.4% 14.4% 13.5% 10.0% 10.1% 5.4% 5.5% 3.2% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Patrick Penwell 4.4% 4.3% 5.5% 6.3% 7.5% 8.6% 8.8% 9.1% 9.8% 10.5% 11.9% 9.1% 4.2%
Matthew Mollerus 10.0% 11.4% 10.7% 11.4% 10.1% 8.9% 9.7% 8.8% 8.0% 5.3% 3.4% 1.9% 0.4%
Eric Anderson 7.2% 6.3% 8.0% 9.0% 7.9% 7.8% 8.0% 9.4% 11.0% 9.4% 8.0% 5.9% 2.1%
Jackson Hamilton 7.6% 8.3% 8.3% 8.4% 8.9% 10.7% 9.9% 8.8% 8.6% 7.1% 6.7% 5.1% 1.6%
Zachary Hall 7.5% 8.4% 8.0% 6.8% 8.1% 8.4% 11.1% 8.7% 8.9% 9.3% 8.2% 4.7% 1.9%
Adam Ceely 7.5% 7.9% 7.0% 9.3% 9.2% 9.1% 9.6% 10.1% 9.3% 8.1% 7.5% 3.7% 1.7%
Ryan Gershuny 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 2.7% 4.1% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 5.8% 8.8% 11.3% 19.7% 30.5%
Sean Beaulieu 6.0% 4.7% 6.0% 6.3% 7.5% 8.4% 7.6% 9.6% 8.7% 11.3% 9.6% 9.5% 4.8%
Sarah Fuller 3.5% 3.5% 5.5% 6.4% 5.6% 6.6% 8.3% 8.7% 9.9% 10.6% 11.7% 13.2% 6.5%
Christopher Dawson 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 2.7% 3.8% 4.8% 4.9% 5.3% 8.8% 20.1% 40.9%
Viktor Wettergren 3.8% 5.7% 7.0% 4.8% 8.1% 8.1% 9.5% 8.8% 9.7% 11.4% 11.2% 6.5% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.