Race 5B

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matthew Mollerus 10.9% 10.4% 11.1% 9.7% 11.4% 9.8% 10.2% 9.4% 6.2% 4.8% 4.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Martim Anderson 21.6% 19.7% 16.8% 13.3% 9.7% 7.3% 4.7% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Patrick Penwell 3.7% 4.6% 6.3% 6.6% 6.7% 8.1% 8.9% 8.1% 10.3% 11.9% 11.0% 8.9% 4.9%
Viktor Wettergren 4.8% 5.9% 5.8% 6.7% 9.3% 7.2% 8.1% 10.6% 9.1% 10.7% 10.1% 8.0% 3.7%
Eric Anderson 7.0% 6.5% 7.4% 9.5% 8.1% 8.7% 7.7% 9.0% 11.4% 10.0% 7.1% 4.7% 2.9%
Zachary Hall 7.1% 7.0% 7.7% 8.7% 9.0% 9.0% 9.7% 10.3% 8.8% 7.8% 7.2% 5.2% 2.5%
Sarah Fuller 5.5% 4.1% 3.7% 5.4% 5.2% 6.3% 7.8% 7.7% 8.7% 11.6% 13.9% 11.3% 8.8%
Jackson Hamilton 7.2% 7.1% 8.7% 8.5% 9.3% 9.1% 10.2% 10.1% 10.3% 6.7% 7.5% 4.1% 1.2%
Christopher Dawson 1.1% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 2.7% 3.7% 2.8% 3.3% 4.7% 6.4% 10.5% 19.0% 39.7%
Sean Beaulieu 5.1% 6.0% 5.1% 5.7% 8.0% 9.0% 9.8% 8.2% 8.1% 9.6% 10.0% 9.2% 6.2%
Harry Koeppel 17.9% 18.3% 15.5% 11.8% 10.5% 9.0% 6.7% 4.7% 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Adam Ceely 6.7% 6.4% 7.6% 9.5% 8.4% 8.8% 8.9% 10.5% 10.6% 8.9% 7.1% 4.8% 1.8%
Ryan Gershuny 1.4% 1.9% 2.0% 2.9% 1.7% 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 7.1% 8.6% 10.7% 22.0% 28.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.