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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sean Beaulieu 4.7% 5.2% 5.5% 6.8% 7.4% 9.4% 8.1% 7.4% 10.1% 11.9% 10.8% 8.2% 4.5%
Eric Anderson 6.4% 7.0% 6.9% 7.2% 9.4% 7.5% 8.5% 10.7% 10.3% 9.6% 8.7% 5.2% 2.6%
Martim Anderson 22.3% 17.6% 16.8% 11.2% 12.3% 7.1% 5.7% 3.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah Fuller 3.2% 3.0% 5.3% 6.0% 4.5% 6.7% 7.8% 8.8% 8.9% 9.4% 12.8% 16.1% 7.5%
Matthew Mollerus 10.5% 12.5% 10.9% 11.2% 10.0% 9.7% 9.4% 7.1% 8.0% 4.3% 4.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Harry Koeppel 18.3% 16.5% 16.7% 12.2% 9.8% 7.7% 6.7% 5.1% 3.0% 2.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Adam Ceely 8.4% 7.3% 9.1% 7.8% 8.5% 9.2% 10.6% 8.9% 8.3% 9.1% 7.3% 4.2% 1.3%
Jackson Hamilton 7.3% 7.8% 7.5% 10.2% 8.2% 10.4% 10.4% 9.0% 9.2% 8.3% 6.2% 3.7% 1.8%
Viktor Wettergren 5.6% 6.0% 5.0% 7.2% 7.4% 7.4% 7.7% 11.7% 10.0% 8.6% 9.4% 9.0% 5.0%
Ryan Gershuny 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 3.0% 2.7% 3.6% 3.3% 6.3% 4.9% 8.3% 12.9% 19.9% 28.2%
Patrick Penwell 3.9% 6.2% 6.1% 7.4% 6.9% 8.4% 9.2% 9.6% 9.8% 9.9% 9.9% 8.5% 4.2%
Christopher Dawson 1.0% 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 3.3% 2.7% 3.4% 4.2% 4.7% 8.1% 8.8% 17.2% 42.0%
Zachary Hall 6.1% 7.0% 6.5% 8.2% 9.6% 10.2% 9.2% 8.1% 10.5% 9.6% 6.8% 5.7% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.