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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+6.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.45+4.88vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.93+4.42vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.96+0.31vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48-1.97vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58-0.62vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60-1.64vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.28-1.57vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.24+0.09vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.19-3.57vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.23vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.88Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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3.59Roger Williams University3.710.2%1st Place
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8.42University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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5.31Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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4.03Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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6.38University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.36Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.09University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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10.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Eric Anderson | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 22.3% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 7.5% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 18.3% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Adam Ceely | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 19.9% | 28.2% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Dawson | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 42.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.