← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.79+1.55vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University2.30+1.24vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University2.43+0.06vs Predicted
-
4Queen's University1.64+0.30vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.20-0.01vs Predicted
-
6Ocean County College0.49-0.09vs Predicted
-
7Drexel University1.75-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.55University of Pennsylvania2.790.3%1st Place
-
3.24Princeton University2.300.2%1st Place
-
3.06Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
-
4.3Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
-
4.99Fordham University1.200.1%1st Place
-
5.91Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
-
3.95Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Johnson | 31.8% | 24.9% | 17.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Mary Gamber | 18.1% | 18.7% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 2.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 20.1% | 22.4% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Arielle Morgan | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 21.0% | 10.2% |
| Amanda Tooker | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 26.1% | 22.9% |
| Autumn Hoover | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 18.2% | 54.2% |
| Joan Boyle | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.