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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+0.62vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+0.27vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.87+0.60vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.05-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.36-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62University of Hawaii1.0554.9%1st Place
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2.27University of Hawaii0.1227.0%1st Place
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3.6University of California at San Diego-0.877.0%1st Place
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3.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.056.2%1st Place
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3.93University of California at San Diego-1.365.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 54.9% | 31.4% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 27.0% | 34.8% | 24.9% | 11.1% | 2.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 7.0% | 12.0% | 23.2% | 29.5% | 28.2% |
| Samantha Katz | 6.2% | 12.8% | 24.3% | 30.4% | 26.4% |
| Claire Diaco | 5.0% | 8.9% | 17.0% | 26.1% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.