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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+3.05vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+4.71vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.60+3.48vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.19+3.64vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.45+1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.93+2.26vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21+0.46vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-4.56vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.28-1.62vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.96-4.64vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-0.46vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-5.39vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.24-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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6.48Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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6.75Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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7.46Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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3.44Roger Williams University3.710.2%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.36Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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6.61University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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10.31University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 17.4% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Eric Anderson | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 8.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 22.7% | 21.1% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Dawson | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 19.4% | 36.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 19.8% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.