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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Harry Koeppel 17.4% 16.7% 16.5% 11.2% 11.5% 8.3% 6.6% 5.3% 3.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Zachary Hall 5.8% 7.0% 6.9% 8.7% 9.2% 10.7% 9.6% 9.6% 8.6% 7.9% 9.2% 4.4% 2.4%
Jackson Hamilton 6.9% 6.4% 9.1% 9.4% 8.1% 9.2% 11.0% 9.9% 8.1% 9.8% 6.1% 4.4% 1.6%
Patrick Penwell 4.3% 5.5% 5.8% 6.3% 6.8% 8.9% 7.9% 8.5% 10.4% 9.8% 11.6% 8.5% 5.7%
Eric Anderson 6.7% 7.7% 6.3% 9.4% 7.7% 7.9% 9.5% 9.2% 10.7% 10.2% 6.7% 5.3% 2.7%
Sarah Fuller 3.9% 4.1% 4.1% 6.6% 4.1% 7.0% 8.3% 9.2% 9.0% 10.0% 12.5% 13.1% 8.1%
Sean Beaulieu 5.6% 5.6% 6.4% 6.2% 8.4% 7.1% 7.8% 8.2% 10.0% 10.0% 10.6% 9.2% 4.9%
Martim Anderson 22.7% 21.1% 15.5% 9.9% 12.2% 8.6% 4.4% 2.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 5.6% 5.6% 6.3% 6.1% 7.9% 7.3% 10.1% 9.1% 9.4% 9.6% 10.3% 8.2% 4.5%
Matthew Mollerus 11.7% 9.9% 10.4% 13.6% 9.8% 9.7% 7.8% 8.4% 7.5% 4.8% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8%
Christopher Dawson 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 2.2% 3.1% 4.0% 3.7% 4.2% 4.7% 7.7% 10.6% 19.4% 36.0%
Adam Ceely 6.4% 7.5% 9.2% 7.9% 8.3% 8.0% 9.4% 9.7% 10.5% 9.4% 6.9% 4.9% 1.9%
Ryan Gershuny 1.8% 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.3% 3.9% 6.2% 6.0% 8.5% 10.5% 19.8% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.