← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.19+6.60vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.48+2.06vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.45+3.93vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University2.21+3.58vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.28+2.26vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.71-2.47vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.96-1.68vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-1.36vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.60-2.53vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.58-3.62vs Predicted
-
11University of Connecticut1.93-2.84vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire1.24-1.73vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.6University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
4.06Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
-
6.93Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
-
7.58Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
7.26Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
-
3.53Roger Williams University3.710.2%1st Place
-
5.32Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
-
6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
-
6.47Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.38University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
8.16University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
-
10.27University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
-
10.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Penwell | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Harry Koeppel | 18.8% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 3.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 23.1% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Hall | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Adam Ceely | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 7.5% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 21.7% | 30.4% |
| Christopher Dawson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.