Race 11B

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Harry Koeppel 18.2% 15.7% 16.0% 12.1% 11.5% 8.2% 6.2% 5.2% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Adam Ceely 6.6% 7.6% 8.9% 8.0% 8.3% 11.0% 8.5% 9.1% 11.6% 7.2% 7.5% 4.1% 1.6%
Viktor Wettergren 4.3% 4.9% 6.3% 7.6% 9.2% 8.0% 7.5% 9.0% 11.2% 10.4% 9.8% 7.9% 3.9%
Matthew Mollerus 10.1% 9.6% 11.6% 13.2% 10.4% 9.4% 9.3% 7.1% 7.4% 6.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.8%
Patrick Penwell 5.7% 4.5% 6.8% 6.6% 7.2% 7.5% 8.8% 8.3% 10.6% 9.2% 11.9% 7.9% 5.0%
Martim Anderson 22.8% 22.4% 14.0% 11.2% 9.3% 8.6% 4.7% 3.6% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 7.5% 7.4% 7.9% 7.6% 6.6% 8.2% 10.7% 9.2% 8.7% 11.1% 6.8% 6.2% 2.1%
Sean Beaulieu 4.3% 5.9% 6.5% 5.9% 7.3% 6.8% 9.7% 9.8% 9.9% 8.7% 11.2% 9.9% 4.1%
Zachary Hall 6.6% 6.6% 6.8% 9.3% 9.1% 8.6% 9.5% 10.6% 8.4% 9.7% 7.7% 5.0% 2.1%
Jackson Hamilton 8.0% 8.2% 7.3% 9.5% 9.6% 10.1% 8.3% 9.4% 7.9% 8.4% 6.0% 4.6% 2.7%
Ryan Gershuny 1.4% 2.1% 2.2% 2.6% 3.6% 4.8% 5.1% 6.3% 6.3% 7.9% 11.4% 19.9% 26.4%
Sarah Fuller 3.3% 4.0% 3.9% 4.6% 5.3% 7.6% 7.9% 8.0% 7.7% 10.7% 12.8% 14.6% 9.6%
Christopher Dawson 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.6% 1.2% 3.8% 4.4% 5.8% 6.7% 10.1% 17.9% 41.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.