Race 12B

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Harry Koeppel 17.7% 17.5% 14.4% 12.3% 11.2% 8.8% 6.8% 4.8% 3.1% 1.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Martim Anderson 22.6% 19.5% 15.7% 11.7% 10.6% 6.1% 7.1% 3.0% 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 5.0% 6.8% 7.1% 9.3% 7.5% 9.2% 8.6% 10.5% 9.8% 9.3% 8.6% 5.7% 2.6%
Matthew Mollerus 10.1% 10.7% 9.7% 12.1% 11.0% 10.2% 7.6% 9.0% 7.7% 6.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.7%
Christopher Dawson 1.9% 1.4% 2.2% 2.0% 3.2% 2.1% 3.6% 5.0% 5.8% 7.0% 10.5% 18.2% 37.1%
Sarah Fuller 4.6% 3.4% 5.0% 4.2% 6.7% 6.8% 6.6% 7.9% 10.1% 10.5% 12.9% 12.4% 8.9%
Patrick Penwell 5.8% 5.8% 6.7% 6.7% 5.3% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 11.0% 10.2% 11.1% 9.8% 4.5%
Jackson Hamilton 7.3% 7.6% 7.6% 9.6% 9.3% 8.0% 10.4% 10.9% 10.6% 6.9% 5.7% 4.8% 1.3%
Sean Beaulieu 4.8% 5.2% 5.6% 6.2% 6.9% 6.8% 8.6% 9.3% 10.2% 11.3% 9.4% 9.7% 6.0%
Viktor Wettergren 5.9% 5.4% 7.3% 6.5% 7.2% 9.2% 8.6% 9.6% 8.1% 9.5% 9.3% 8.0% 5.4%
Adam Ceely 7.6% 8.0% 8.4% 10.0% 8.8% 11.0% 9.9% 8.9% 7.2% 8.4% 6.1% 4.0% 1.7%
Ryan Gershuny 1.3% 1.8% 2.4% 2.5% 3.4% 4.5% 3.7% 4.8% 5.4% 7.9% 12.7% 20.1% 29.5%
Zachary Hall 5.4% 6.9% 7.9% 6.9% 8.9% 9.6% 10.8% 8.6% 9.5% 10.1% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.