Race 13B

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Harry Koeppel 18.0% 15.5% 15.9% 12.2% 10.2% 9.2% 7.2% 5.3% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Patrick Penwell 4.7% 4.8% 5.3% 7.6% 7.0% 7.2% 8.7% 9.3% 9.7% 9.0% 11.9% 10.0% 4.8%
Jackson Hamilton 6.8% 6.1% 9.5% 9.6% 8.7% 10.0% 9.1% 10.3% 9.3% 8.2% 6.0% 5.0% 1.4%
Martim Anderson 22.2% 19.6% 15.8% 11.6% 10.5% 8.4% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2%
Adam Ceely 8.2% 7.8% 9.0% 8.1% 9.2% 9.1% 9.7% 8.5% 10.4% 7.6% 6.8% 4.3% 1.3%
Matthew Mollerus 10.9% 11.2% 11.2% 11.8% 11.1% 10.3% 7.1% 7.4% 7.2% 5.3% 3.2% 2.6% 0.7%
Eric Anderson 7.0% 7.8% 7.1% 8.0% 7.5% 9.4% 8.8% 10.0% 8.6% 8.2% 8.6% 6.6% 2.4%
Viktor Wettergren 5.2% 7.3% 5.8% 6.9% 6.8% 7.4% 10.6% 9.8% 9.2% 9.5% 9.9% 7.7% 3.9%
Zachary Hall 6.2% 7.2% 7.2% 9.6% 8.6% 8.0% 9.6% 9.9% 9.2% 9.2% 7.6% 5.8% 1.9%
Ryan Gershuny 1.9% 2.6% 2.5% 2.1% 3.3% 3.6% 3.8% 5.1% 7.0% 8.9% 10.9% 19.0% 29.3%
Christopher Dawson 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 3.2% 2.8% 4.6% 4.4% 6.1% 7.1% 12.2% 16.7% 36.6%
Sean Beaulieu 5.1% 4.4% 5.2% 6.1% 8.6% 6.5% 8.3% 9.1% 9.7% 11.9% 9.6% 8.4% 7.1%
Sarah Fuller 2.6% 4.3% 4.0% 4.2% 5.3% 8.1% 7.1% 7.7% 9.1% 12.3% 11.8% 13.3% 10.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.