Race 1C

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alexander Tong 18.8% 14.7% 15.6% 11.4% 10.4% 9.7% 7.4% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Isherwood 10.2% 10.9% 10.2% 10.8% 10.9% 10.2% 7.2% 8.5% 9.6% 6.8% 2.9% 1.6% 0.2%
William Reid 6.4% 7.7% 7.7% 9.2% 9.4% 7.9% 10.2% 10.0% 12.0% 8.8% 8.2% 2.4% 0.1%
Jacob Martz 9.2% 9.3% 9.9% 8.9% 8.9% 10.2% 9.1% 9.7% 10.5% 8.8% 3.4% 1.9% 0.2%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 11.3% 10.0% 10.5% 9.8% 9.8% 8.9% 9.5% 10.8% 7.8% 6.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Henry O'Brien 9.2% 8.8% 8.5% 8.6% 10.0% 10.0% 10.7% 8.1% 8.8% 9.0% 5.9% 2.0% 0.4%
Bennett Capozzi 9.9% 8.8% 8.4% 8.0% 9.5% 9.9% 9.4% 10.1% 9.7% 8.9% 5.2% 1.7% 0.5%
Michael Gemperline 12.6% 12.8% 12.0% 12.4% 10.1% 11.2% 9.9% 7.3% 5.2% 3.8% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
George Luber 1.9% 3.2% 3.2% 3.1% 4.0% 2.6% 4.6% 5.5% 7.4% 11.3% 25.8% 21.1% 6.3%
Judas Taylor 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 1.6% 2.3% 3.3% 2.5% 5.8% 13.6% 37.8% 26.0%
Peter Christensen 5.5% 6.7% 6.6% 8.2% 7.6% 9.0% 9.2% 10.4% 11.3% 11.5% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9%
Martin Hooker 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 1.3% 1.0% 2.1% 2.0% 7.3% 19.9% 63.6%
Shannon Killian 4.1% 5.4% 5.6% 7.3% 6.6% 8.4% 9.2% 10.2% 9.7% 15.2% 10.0% 6.7% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.