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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+4.81vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39+4.38vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.49+3.14vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.51+2.08vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.94-0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72-0.58vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+2.21vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.08-0.84vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.67-3.30vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.26-5.91vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.16-4.12vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.33-0.89vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.48-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.1%1st Place
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6.14Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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4.85Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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7.16Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.7Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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4.09Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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6.88Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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11.11University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Martz | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| William Reid | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Henry O'Brien | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Gemperline | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 24.5% | 20.4% | 5.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Tong | 18.2% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 13.2% | 37.5% | 27.8% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 21.6% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.