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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jacob Martz 9.2% 8.6% 10.5% 10.1% 8.9% 9.1% 10.4% 9.8% 9.2% 7.6% 5.2% 1.3% 0.1%
William Reid 7.3% 8.0% 7.3% 8.5% 8.3% 10.4% 10.1% 9.9% 11.0% 8.5% 7.6% 2.6% 0.5%
Bennett Capozzi 7.4% 7.4% 10.2% 10.1% 9.6% 8.1% 8.3% 11.4% 11.5% 7.2% 6.5% 2.1% 0.2%
Henry O'Brien 8.6% 8.1% 8.2% 9.8% 9.7% 8.9% 10.4% 9.6% 9.2% 9.7% 5.6% 1.9% 0.3%
Michael Gemperline 13.2% 14.5% 12.0% 9.8% 9.8% 11.4% 8.6% 7.7% 5.3% 5.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Patrick Isherwood 10.3% 11.7% 9.9% 10.4% 11.5% 9.1% 9.2% 9.2% 7.2% 6.1% 4.2% 1.2% 0.0%
George Luber 2.9% 2.7% 2.7% 3.7% 4.4% 4.6% 4.7% 4.3% 7.4% 12.6% 24.5% 20.4% 5.1%
Shannon Killian 5.3% 6.6% 5.3% 6.6% 6.5% 8.6% 9.9% 10.2% 11.1% 14.7% 10.1% 4.5% 0.6%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 10.0% 8.9% 10.6% 10.6% 9.9% 10.0% 8.9% 7.6% 8.8% 7.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.1%
Alexander Tong 18.2% 17.3% 14.6% 10.2% 11.2% 8.6% 7.0% 5.6% 4.2% 1.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 6.2% 5.5% 7.1% 8.2% 7.9% 8.8% 9.7% 10.2% 9.5% 12.2% 10.1% 3.8% 0.8%
Judas Taylor 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% 3.6% 4.0% 4.7% 13.2% 37.5% 27.8%
Martin Hooker 0.6% 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 2.2% 5.4% 21.6% 64.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.