Race 3C

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alexander Tong 17.9% 15.1% 15.3% 13.7% 10.0% 7.6% 7.5% 5.8% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Patrick Isherwood 9.8% 10.5% 10.2% 10.8% 11.5% 11.3% 8.7% 7.5% 8.0% 6.0% 4.2% 1.3% 0.2%
William Reid 6.5% 7.8% 8.3% 9.4% 8.7% 9.9% 8.0% 10.1% 11.7% 9.5% 7.4% 2.5% 0.2%
Henry O'Brien 8.5% 7.8% 8.6% 10.5% 9.7% 8.7% 9.6% 9.4% 9.4% 8.8% 6.8% 1.9% 0.3%
Peter Christensen 7.6% 5.6% 6.7% 7.3% 9.2% 7.6% 7.9% 9.9% 12.0% 10.3% 10.2% 5.0% 0.7%
Shannon Killian 6.0% 6.1% 7.1% 6.3% 7.0% 7.8% 9.3% 10.0% 10.2% 11.4% 12.4% 5.6% 0.8%
Bennett Capozzi 9.2% 9.9% 8.3% 8.1% 8.9% 10.0% 10.3% 9.4% 9.3% 8.7% 5.2% 2.5% 0.2%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 9.6% 11.8% 10.0% 8.6% 9.1% 11.4% 10.4% 9.8% 6.7% 7.3% 4.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Michael Gemperline 12.5% 12.9% 12.6% 11.6% 10.6% 9.1% 9.2% 7.0% 6.1% 5.3% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1%
George Luber 2.9% 2.5% 2.1% 2.9% 3.3% 3.7% 5.9% 5.9% 8.7% 13.2% 22.9% 20.0% 6.0%
Judas Taylor 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 2.0% 1.6% 2.8% 3.7% 3.5% 7.0% 13.5% 38.6% 23.9%
Jacob Martz 8.3% 8.9% 9.7% 9.3% 8.9% 10.5% 9.9% 10.1% 9.6% 7.7% 5.2% 1.6% 0.3%
Martin Hooker 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 1.4% 1.3% 2.6% 5.3% 18.3% 67.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.