Race 4C

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alexander Tong 18.1% 15.5% 14.8% 11.8% 11.5% 10.1% 7.0% 4.3% 3.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Gemperline 12.4% 13.5% 11.2% 12.2% 11.3% 9.4% 8.6% 8.3% 5.6% 4.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Bennett Capozzi 6.4% 8.5% 10.0% 10.2% 8.1% 9.7% 10.1% 10.8% 9.5% 8.7% 5.8% 2.0% 0.2%
Jacob Martz 9.7% 8.7% 9.7% 9.2% 9.5% 8.7% 11.0% 10.0% 8.3% 8.2% 5.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Peter Christensen 6.6% 5.7% 6.4% 7.6% 8.5% 8.5% 7.2% 10.1% 11.4% 11.8% 10.9% 4.4% 0.9%
Shannon Killian 5.9% 6.0% 5.6% 7.4% 6.8% 7.7% 8.7% 10.8% 12.0% 12.3% 11.1% 4.8% 0.9%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 10.4% 11.7% 10.5% 7.3% 10.2% 10.6% 9.0% 10.2% 7.9% 6.6% 4.2% 1.1% 0.3%
George Luber 2.1% 2.7% 3.4% 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 5.1% 5.4% 9.6% 12.1% 23.8% 20.5% 5.4%
Henry O'Brien 8.5% 7.9% 7.7% 9.8% 9.8% 8.7% 11.3% 9.4% 8.5% 9.1% 6.7% 2.3% 0.3%
William Reid 7.9% 7.5% 7.6% 9.6% 9.1% 9.3% 9.1% 8.8% 10.7% 10.2% 7.3% 2.3% 0.6%
Patrick Isherwood 11.0% 10.9% 12.5% 9.3% 9.6% 11.8% 10.3% 7.7% 6.5% 5.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Judas Taylor 0.6% 1.0% 0.5% 1.6% 2.3% 0.9% 1.7% 3.2% 4.2% 6.6% 12.1% 37.5% 27.8%
Martin Hooker 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 2.3% 2.1% 5.8% 21.6% 63.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.