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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.79+1.53vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.30+1.24vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.75+1.13vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.20+0.99vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.49+0.89vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.64-1.72vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.43-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Pennsylvania2.790.3%1st Place
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3.24Princeton University2.300.2%1st Place
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4.13Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.99Fordham University1.200.1%1st Place
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5.89Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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4.28Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
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2.94Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Johnson | 32.5% | 24.1% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Mary Gamber | 17.2% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Joan Boyle | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 8.4% |
| Amanda Tooker | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 27.0% | 22.3% |
| Autumn Hoover | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 20.4% | 52.2% |
| Arielle Morgan | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 19.3% | 11.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 23.7% | 21.5% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.