Race 5C

71st-greater-boston-oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jacob Martz 8.2% 9.8% 9.4% 10.2% 9.7% 9.7% 9.7% 11.0% 8.1% 8.0% 4.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Bennett Capozzi 7.7% 9.1% 8.8% 8.1% 10.3% 9.3% 9.3% 10.6% 9.7% 8.8% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4%
Michael Gemperline 11.8% 11.9% 13.2% 11.9% 11.7% 9.8% 10.3% 6.9% 5.9% 4.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Henry O'Brien 8.5% 8.2% 9.0% 9.5% 9.5% 8.6% 10.1% 9.0% 10.0% 9.0% 6.2% 2.2% 0.2%
William Reid 8.4% 7.1% 8.6% 10.3% 8.0% 8.1% 7.8% 12.5% 10.2% 9.3% 6.9% 2.6% 0.2%
Alexander Tong 18.9% 16.3% 14.8% 12.0% 10.6% 7.3% 8.0% 4.7% 3.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Isherwood 11.7% 9.9% 11.4% 8.7% 10.1% 11.5% 9.3% 7.4% 8.7% 6.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Peter Christensen 5.5% 6.4% 5.7% 7.5% 7.2% 10.3% 9.3% 9.2% 11.8% 11.6% 11.0% 3.8% 0.7%
Shannon Killian 5.8% 5.3% 5.5% 6.1% 7.5% 6.5% 10.2% 10.5% 10.3% 14.1% 11.7% 5.7% 0.8%
George Luber 2.8% 2.1% 3.7% 2.2% 3.8% 4.6% 3.5% 6.7% 7.9% 12.9% 23.4% 19.7% 6.7%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 9.6% 12.8% 8.5% 12.0% 9.1% 11.8% 9.7% 7.5% 8.7% 5.1% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Judas Taylor 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 2.0% 3.2% 3.9% 6.3% 12.8% 38.0% 27.2%
Martin Hooker 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 1.7% 6.3% 22.2% 63.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.