Race 6C

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Gemperline 12.8% 12.2% 12.4% 11.1% 9.9% 10.4% 9.7% 7.3% 7.3% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Jacob Martz 8.6% 10.0% 9.3% 9.2% 10.1% 11.3% 8.1% 9.3% 9.1% 7.6% 5.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Alexander Tong 16.1% 17.8% 13.1% 13.5% 10.6% 9.6% 7.3% 5.6% 3.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
George Luber 2.3% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 4.6% 3.7% 4.7% 6.5% 8.1% 12.5% 24.4% 20.2% 5.8%
William Reid 7.7% 8.2% 8.3% 9.6% 9.0% 7.6% 8.4% 10.2% 11.6% 9.2% 7.6% 2.3% 0.3%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 10.5% 11.1% 9.0% 11.5% 9.8% 11.1% 8.0% 8.1% 8.0% 7.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Shannon Killian 6.6% 5.2% 8.9% 4.7% 6.6% 7.8% 9.8% 9.2% 11.3% 13.7% 10.3% 5.1% 0.8%
Henry O'Brien 8.2% 9.6% 8.7% 8.0% 10.1% 8.5% 11.3% 9.5% 9.7% 7.7% 6.5% 1.8% 0.4%
Bennett Capozzi 9.0% 7.5% 8.6% 8.5% 9.0% 8.4% 12.8% 9.4% 7.8% 8.7% 7.6% 2.5% 0.2%
Patrick Isherwood 11.3% 9.7% 10.8% 11.1% 10.0% 10.3% 7.7% 9.1% 8.4% 6.6% 4.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 5.6% 5.8% 7.3% 8.5% 7.7% 9.0% 8.8% 11.6% 10.1% 10.8% 9.3% 4.8% 0.7%
Judas Taylor 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 1.3% 2.2% 3.5% 3.6% 6.0% 12.0% 38.7% 27.1%
Martin Hooker 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 1.2% 3.8% 5.8% 20.1% 64.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.