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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.94+3.92vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.08+5.20vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72+2.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.26+0.08vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67+0.53vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+3.36vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.51-1.03vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.49-1.93vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.59-3.08vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39-3.65vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.16-4.14vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.33-0.89vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.48-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.2Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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4.08Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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5.53Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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5.97University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.92Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.1%1st Place
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6.86Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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11.11University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gemperline | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Tong | 18.4% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 24.6% | 20.4% | 5.8% |
| Henry O'Brien | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Martz | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| William Reid | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 12.4% | 38.6% | 27.1% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 20.1% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.