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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.67+4.60vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.49+4.15vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.94+1.90vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+1.49vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.59+0.75vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.26-1.91vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08+0.10vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.51-2.01vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.16-1.92vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39-3.68vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-1.76vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.33-0.84vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.48-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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4.9Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.75Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.09Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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7.1Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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7.08Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.1%1st Place
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9.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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11.16University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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12.13University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Michael Gemperline | 12.6% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Martz | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Tong | 17.5% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Henry O'Brien | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| William Reid | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| George Luber | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 23.9% | 17.8% | 6.4% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 40.0% | 27.5% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 22.1% | 62.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.