Race 11C

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katharina (KB) Knapp 10.0% 8.9% 11.1% 10.3% 10.3% 9.5% 9.3% 9.3% 8.3% 7.4% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3%
William Reid 6.6% 8.0% 8.2% 8.6% 8.0% 10.5% 10.4% 9.4% 10.2% 9.7% 6.8% 2.9% 0.7%
Alexander Tong 17.6% 16.8% 14.5% 11.5% 11.6% 8.7% 7.6% 5.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Jacob Martz 8.7% 8.8% 9.7% 9.9% 12.1% 9.3% 9.4% 8.8% 7.4% 9.7% 4.3% 1.7% 0.2%
Michael Gemperline 12.8% 15.5% 11.5% 11.0% 8.4% 11.2% 9.6% 6.8% 6.3% 3.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 6.4% 5.8% 6.3% 7.9% 7.7% 9.2% 8.4% 11.3% 10.8% 11.3% 9.3% 4.9% 0.7%
Shannon Killian 7.1% 5.4% 7.3% 6.1% 6.4% 7.2% 8.7% 9.4% 13.1% 11.2% 11.3% 6.1% 0.7%
George Luber 2.0% 3.2% 3.0% 3.4% 3.2% 3.9% 4.7% 5.6% 8.4% 12.4% 24.5% 20.7% 5.0%
Bennett Capozzi 8.8% 7.8% 7.9% 8.9% 10.4% 9.0% 10.7% 8.8% 9.4% 8.6% 6.9% 2.2% 0.6%
Henry O'Brien 9.0% 8.1% 9.1% 10.8% 10.3% 9.2% 7.2% 9.4% 9.6% 8.6% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6%
Judas Taylor 1.0% 0.7% 0.5% 1.5% 1.4% 2.6% 2.6% 4.0% 3.1% 6.2% 15.0% 37.7% 23.7%
Patrick Isherwood 9.6% 10.7% 10.7% 9.5% 9.5% 8.9% 10.6% 10.3% 8.1% 7.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.1%
Martin Hooker 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 1.6% 2.4% 5.4% 17.9% 67.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.