Race 12C

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bennett Capozzi 8.7% 7.6% 8.3% 9.9% 9.7% 8.6% 9.1% 9.9% 11.0% 8.3% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4%
Alexander Tong 17.5% 16.8% 14.1% 13.7% 9.8% 9.6% 6.3% 5.4% 3.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Gemperline 11.8% 12.4% 12.9% 10.9% 12.0% 10.6% 9.1% 7.5% 5.5% 4.6% 2.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 9.1% 10.0% 11.0% 10.2% 10.5% 11.0% 8.6% 9.4% 7.5% 7.1% 4.1% 1.3% 0.2%
George Luber 2.7% 2.8% 2.7% 3.2% 3.1% 5.1% 5.3% 6.3% 7.5% 11.6% 23.2% 20.7% 5.8%
William Reid 8.0% 7.8% 9.4% 8.2% 8.5% 8.9% 9.9% 9.7% 9.5% 9.9% 6.7% 3.4% 0.1%
Peter Christensen 7.2% 5.4% 8.0% 7.1% 6.6% 6.9% 10.0% 9.5% 11.3% 12.9% 10.2% 4.2% 0.7%
Henry O'Brien 7.7% 9.8% 8.6% 8.8% 9.3% 9.7% 11.7% 9.7% 9.1% 8.6% 5.4% 1.5% 0.1%
Shannon Killian 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 6.6% 6.5% 7.8% 8.4% 10.9% 10.4% 12.3% 13.5% 5.0% 1.2%
Jacob Martz 10.0% 9.2% 9.0% 10.6% 10.7% 9.1% 8.1% 8.7% 9.9% 6.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.3%
Judas Taylor 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.6% 3.6% 4.2% 5.7% 13.4% 39.6% 23.4%
Patrick Isherwood 10.1% 11.2% 9.6% 9.1% 10.5% 9.7% 10.2% 8.2% 9.3% 7.1% 3.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Martin Hooker 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 3.0% 4.0% 18.8% 67.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.