Race 13C

71st-greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Gemperline 13.3% 12.1% 12.8% 11.1% 9.9% 11.0% 9.5% 7.2% 6.3% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Peter Christensen 5.3% 6.6% 6.9% 6.3% 8.7% 8.3% 9.2% 9.1% 11.6% 13.0% 10.0% 4.3% 0.7%
Shannon Killian 4.6% 5.3% 7.4% 5.7% 7.4% 8.6% 8.4% 10.3% 11.7% 12.9% 11.9% 5.3% 0.5%
Jacob Martz 9.0% 7.4% 10.3% 11.2% 9.0% 9.7% 10.1% 10.1% 8.6% 8.1% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3%
Bennett Capozzi 9.7% 9.4% 7.9% 9.5% 8.9% 8.8% 9.2% 10.2% 9.5% 8.1% 6.7% 1.9% 0.2%
William Reid 7.7% 7.2% 8.8% 9.6% 9.1% 8.3% 10.4% 10.0% 8.9% 9.3% 7.4% 2.9% 0.4%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 10.5% 11.3% 9.6% 9.8% 9.4% 9.3% 9.4% 10.0% 9.0% 6.6% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Alexander Tong 17.3% 18.1% 12.4% 13.1% 12.2% 9.1% 7.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Patrick Isherwood 10.1% 10.7% 10.4% 10.4% 10.1% 9.5% 10.5% 8.3% 7.5% 7.0% 4.3% 0.9% 0.3%
Henry O'Brien 9.1% 8.8% 9.2% 9.2% 10.0% 8.5% 8.0% 11.1% 9.5% 9.0% 5.1% 1.8% 0.7%
Judas Taylor 1.0% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 2.1% 3.4% 4.6% 7.4% 13.0% 37.9% 23.7%
George Luber 2.0% 2.1% 3.2% 2.7% 3.1% 5.2% 4.9% 5.3% 7.4% 11.0% 24.2% 22.0% 6.9%
Martin Hooker 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 2.0% 2.5% 5.2% 19.4% 66.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.