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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+5.85vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.88vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+3.14vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+2.27vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.00+3.63vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.81-0.01vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.52-0.02vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.69-1.78vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-3.44vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98-1.27vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.47-0.88vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.52-5.17vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.55-3.05vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.42-1.21vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.23vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.14Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.27Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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5.99Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.98Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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6.22Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.56Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.73Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.83Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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9.95Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Rhode Island0.420.0%1st Place
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13.77University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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15.29Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kennedy | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 11.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Charles Welsh | 10.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Aaron Klein | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Chester Jacobs | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| William Connelly | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 24.6% | 25.6% | 8.7% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 19.6% | 38.7% | 18.8% |
| Earl Lin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 15.7% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.