← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.05+0.61vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii0.12+0.31vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-0.87+0.56vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-1.36-0.12vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.05-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.61University of Hawaii1.0555.9%1st Place
-
2.31University of Hawaii0.1225.4%1st Place
-
3.56University of California at San Diego-0.877.6%1st Place
-
3.88University of California at San Diego-1.365.5%1st Place
-
3.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.055.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 55.9% | 30.3% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 25.4% | 35.5% | 24.9% | 11.3% | 2.8% |
| Alex Bussey | 7.6% | 11.7% | 24.2% | 29.8% | 26.6% |
| Claire Diaco | 5.5% | 9.4% | 18.0% | 25.6% | 41.4% |
| Samantha Katz | 5.5% | 13.0% | 22.1% | 30.6% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.