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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.82vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+4.25vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.98+5.62vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+1.77vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+1.11vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+0.20vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.81-0.95vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.49-1.12vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy1.55+0.94vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.47+0.32vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.52-4.17vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.00-3.42vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.42-0.13vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.52-7.29vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.25vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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5.77Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.11Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.2Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.05Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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9.94Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.83Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.58Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Rhode Island0.420.0%1st Place
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6.71Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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13.75University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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15.31Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Aaron Klein | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| William Connelly | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 25.8% | 28.3% | 7.8% |
| Chester Jacobs | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 18.0% | 39.0% | 18.4% |
| Earl Lin | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 15.7% | 70.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.