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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.75+4.98vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+4.91vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.98+5.61vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.00+4.72vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.81+0.99vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91-0.28vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69-0.60vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.52-1.28vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.14vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.52-3.04vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.47-0.89vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.55-2.08vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.42-0.11vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-1.20+1.26vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-8.82vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.72Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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5.99Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.72Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.72Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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5.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.96Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.92Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Rhode Island0.420.0%1st Place
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15.26Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.18Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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13.79University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Dubovik | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chester Jacobs | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| William Connelly | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 24.6% | 28.1% | 9.1% |
| Earl Lin | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 6.1% | 15.2% | 71.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 19.0% | 38.6% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.