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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+5.20vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.52+4.78vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.98+5.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.03vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+1.15vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.52+0.97vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.00+1.66vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.81-2.21vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.47+1.18vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.49-2.98vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-4.90vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-6.28vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.42-0.12vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.55-4.10vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-1.20+0.24vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.78Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.63Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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6.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.15Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.97Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.66Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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5.79Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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7.02Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.72Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.88University of Rhode Island0.420.0%1st Place
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9.9Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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15.24Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Darcy | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chester Jacobs | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 9.4% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Charles Welsh | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| James Kennedy | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Connelly | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 24.0% | 30.1% | 7.6% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Earl Lin | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 14.4% | 72.7% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 19.2% | 38.0% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.