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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+5.83vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.75+4.06vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.98+5.68vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+2.47vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.00+3.59vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91-0.34vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-0.98vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75-2.03vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.81-3.12vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.47+0.32vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.52-4.11vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.42+0.85vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.52-6.14vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.55-4.13vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.24vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.06Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.68Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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8.59Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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5.66Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.88Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.89Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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12.85University of Rhode Island0.420.0%1st Place
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6.86Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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9.87Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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13.76University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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15.3Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kennedy | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Marcos Darcy | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Connelly | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 23.8% | 27.4% | 9.6% |
| Chester Jacobs | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 18.2% | 40.1% | 17.8% |
| Earl Lin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 16.5% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.