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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+4.51vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.52+4.78vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69+3.32vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.52+3.01vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.98+3.64vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.49+1.09vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75-0.81vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy1.55+1.89vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.00-0.45vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75-3.83vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.47-0.87vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.81-6.01vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-7.15vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.36vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.42-2.04vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.78Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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6.32Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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7.01Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.64Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.09Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.19Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.89Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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8.55Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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6.17Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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5.99Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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13.64University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Rhode Island0.420.0%1st Place
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15.29Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chester Jacobs | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| James Kennedy | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 18.1% | 38.6% | 16.2% |
| William Connelly | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 26.9% | 26.4% | 10.5% |
| Earl Lin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 16.1% | 71.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.