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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.75+5.01vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.85vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.81+2.93vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.52+3.04vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.49+1.94vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69+0.39vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91-1.28vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.47+2.09vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-2.93vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.00-1.34vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.52-4.15vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.55-2.06vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-4.43vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.33vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.42-2.03vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.93Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.04Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.39Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.72Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.66Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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6.85Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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9.94Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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8.57Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.97University of Rhode Island0.420.0%1st Place
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15.31Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Dubovik | 9.5% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Kennedy | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 12.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Chester Jacobs | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 18.1% | 38.7% | 16.3% |
| William Connelly | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 25.6% | 26.8% | 10.6% |
| Earl Lin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 5.7% | 15.9% | 71.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.