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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.75+5.01vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+4.05vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.49+3.94vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.81+2.09vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.98+3.68vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-0.02vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.52-0.04vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91-2.48vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.52-2.16vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.69-3.60vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.42+1.78vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.47-1.77vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.55-3.06vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.00-5.48vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.25vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.05Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.09Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.68Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.96Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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5.52Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.84Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Rhode Island0.420.0%1st Place
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10.23Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.94Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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8.52Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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15.32Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Dubovik | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 10.0% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chester Jacobs | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Connelly | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 25.1% | 28.9% | 8.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 0.7% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 19.2% | 39.5% | 17.1% |
| Earl Lin | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 72.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.