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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.75vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+3.98vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+3.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.16+4.21vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.69+1.35vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.75+0.18vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.98+1.78vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.81-2.25vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.49-2.20vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41-2.74vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.00-2.44vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.55-1.94vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.42+0.24vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.81-4.82vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.86vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University0.55-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.98Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.68Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.35Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.18Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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5.75Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.26Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.56Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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10.06Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Rhode Island0.420.0%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University1.810.0%1st Place
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14.14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.08Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 10.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Sommi | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Marcos Darcy | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Charles Welsh | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Camille Matile | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| William Connelly | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 16.0% | 26.2% | 23.9% |
| Pierre DuPont | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 46.5% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 26.4% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.